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Al Fateh vs Al Shabab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
02:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Fateh host Al Shabab in the Saudi Professional League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Shabab have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Al Fateh have conceded 1.66 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Al Fateh slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.56) point toward Al Shabab. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Fateh
30%
Draws
39%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Fateh haven't matched Al Shabab's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Shabab's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 15%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Shabab
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Fateh
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Shabab
2:0
May 1, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Shabab
3:1
Dec 5, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Fateh
2:2
May 27, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Fateh
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 23 / 100
Al Shabab 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Al Shabab let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Fateh scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Al Fateh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Shabab
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
15 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
2 : 3
Al Fateh
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

Al Shabab

(Away)
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
11 Al Khaleej 9 1 6 2 6:11 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 9 1 3 5 7:17 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)