Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Fayha vs Al Ettifaq FC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Semedo A.
Assist: Benzia Y.
62'
Sub
Ali M. In: Dembele M.
Out: Ali M.
71'
Sub
Dahal S. In: Al Khaibari A.
Out: Dahal S.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Fayha and Al Ettifaq FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Fayha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al Fayha
6%
Draws
90%
Al Ettifaq FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ettifaq FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ettifaq FC come out ahead of Al Fayha on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al Ettifaq FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fayha Al Ettifaq FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Fayha
3:2
Mar 15, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Fayha
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:1
May 3, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Fayha
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fayha Compare

Top Goalscorer Semedo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Ettifaq FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fayha 10 / 100
Al Ettifaq FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fayha Al Ettifaq FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Fayha scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Al Ettifaq FC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Fayha went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fayha VS Al Ettifaq FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fayha

(Home)
18 Jul
Nijmegen
7 : 0
Al Fayha
21 May
Al Fayha
0 : 1
Al Hilal
15 May
Damac
3 : 0
Al Fayha
09 May
Al Fayha
1 : 2
Al Qadsiah
04 May
Al Fayha
4 : 2
Al Riyadh
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Al Ettifaq FC

(Away)
19 Jul
Al Ettifaq FC
3 : 2
Johor DT
21 May
Neom SC
1 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
14 May
Al Ettifaq FC
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
09 May
Al Khaleej
0 : 5
Al Ettifaq FC
04 May
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Najma
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2026/2027 (Main)