Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Fayha vs Al Kholood

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hugo Moura
14' Event
Kortajarena I.
Assist: Domingues J.
51'
Sub
Al Harthi N. In: Enad R.
Out: Al Harthi N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Fayha
35%
Draws
37%
Al Kholood
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Kholood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Kholood at 1.28 per game, Al Fayha at 1.23.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Al Kholood taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 12%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fayha Al Kholood
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Kholood
2:2
Apr 30, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Fayha
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Kholood
0:5
May 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Fayha
2:0
Jan 20, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Kholood
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fayha Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Moura
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakala F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Kholood Compare

Top Goalscorer Kortajarena I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Domingues J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fayha 27 / 100
Al Kholood 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fayha Al Kholood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kholood Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Fayha found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Kholood let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Al Fayha went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fayha VS Al Kholood
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fayha

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fayha
Page 1 of 6

Al Kholood

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1
Al Ahli SC
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)