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Al Gharafa 2 vs Al Ahli 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Gharafa 2 in this Division 2 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Gharafa 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Gharafa 2
20%
Draws
51%
Al Ahli 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahli 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli 2 lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharafa 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Gharafa 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharafa 2 Al Ahli 2
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2016 QSL 2
Al Ahli 2 vs Al Gharafa 2
0:0
Dec 15, 2015 QSL 2
Al Ahli 2 vs Al Gharafa 2
1:1
Apr 13, 2015 QSL 2
Al Ahli 2 vs Al Gharafa 2
2:1
Apr 7, 2014 QSL 2
Al Gharafa 2 vs Al Ahli 2
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharafa 2 29 / 100
Al Ahli 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharafa 2 Al Ahli 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Gharafa 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Gharafa 2 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Ahli 2 conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Gharafa 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharafa 2 VS Al Ahli 2
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharafa 2

(Home)
07 Sept
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
30 Aug
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al Gharafa 2
04 Mar
Umm-Salal 2
1 : 2
Al Gharafa 2
03 Apr
Al Gharafa 2
1 : 6
Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 7

Al Ahli 2

(Away)
02 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
0 : 1
Al Ahli 2
24 Mar
Al Duhail 2
0 : 0
Al Ahli 2
04 Mar
Al Ahli 2
1 : 7
Al Muaidar 2
11 Feb
Qatar SC
7 : 0
Al Ahli 2
04 Feb
Al Ahli 2
5 : 2
Al Khor 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamal 17 14 2 1 38:19 44
2 Al Shahaniya 17 11 2 4 45:23 35
3 Al Arabi (Qatar) 2 17 10 3 4 38:20 33
4 Al Rayyan 2 17 9 5 3 30:21 32
5 Al Mesaimeer 17 9 3 5 32:29 30
6 Al Sadd 2 17 8 4 5 33:32 28
7 Al Markhiya 17 7 5 5 43:41 26
8 Muaither SC 2 17 6 7 4 23:22 25
9 Al Gharafa 2 17 7 3 7 39:31 24
10 Al Jaish 2 17 7 3 7 28:23 24
11 Al Sailiya 2 17 6 2 9 25:26 20
12 Al Wakra 2 17 5 3 9 28:34 18
13 Al Khor 2 17 5 3 9 25:38 18
14 Umm-Salal 2 17 4 5 8 28:35 17
15 Qatar SC 2 17 4 4 9 26:30 16
16 Al Kharaitiyat 2 17 4 4 9 22:41 16
17 Al Duhail 2 17 4 1 12 28:42 13
18 Al Ahli 2 17 2 3 12 25:49 9
Promotion - QSL 2014/2015 (Main)