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Al Gharafa 2 vs Al Markhiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2014/2015 game between Al Gharafa 2 and Al Markhiya finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Gharafa 2
20%
Draws
57%
Al Markhiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Markhiya come out ahead of Al Gharafa 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Markhiya a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Gharafa 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharafa 2 Al Markhiya
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 8 20
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.87 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 QSL 2
Al Gharafa 2 vs Al Markhiya
0:3
Apr 3, 2017 QSL 2
Al Gharafa 2 vs Al Markhiya
1:6
Nov 29, 2015 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Gharafa 2
3:5
Feb 8, 2015 QSL 2
Al Gharafa 2 vs Al Markhiya
1:1
Oct 20, 2013 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Gharafa 2
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharafa 2 10 / 100
Al Markhiya 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharafa 2 Al Markhiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Al Gharafa 2's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Markhiya conceded in 60% of 35 recent games.

Al Gharafa 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharafa 2 VS Al Markhiya
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharafa 2

(Home)
07 Sept
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
30 Aug
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al Gharafa 2
04 Mar
Umm-Salal 2
1 : 2
Al Gharafa 2
03 Apr
Al Gharafa 2
1 : 6
Al Markhiya
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Al Markhiya

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 17 16 0 1 87:13 48
2 Al Mesaimeer 17 14 2 1 67:23 44
3 Muaither SC 17 13 1 3 55:18 40
4 Al Markhiya 17 9 4 4 37:31 31
5 Al Gharafa 2 17 8 4 5 43:36 28
6 Al Sadd 2 17 7 5 5 36:35 26
7 Al Kharitiyath 2 17 7 3 7 34:47 24
8 Al Duhail 2 17 7 1 9 43:32 22
9 Al Arabi (Qatar) 2 17 6 4 7 37:33 22
10 Umm-Salal 2 17 5 5 7 32:38 20
11 Al Jaish 2 17 5 4 8 39:52 19
12 Al Ahli 2 17 5 4 8 24:41 19
13 Shamal 2 17 5 3 9 16:38 18
14 Al Wakra 2 17 4 5 8 25:35 17
15 Al Sailiya 2 17 5 1 11 29:48 16
16 Qatar SC 2 17 4 3 10 27:36 15
17 Al Shahaniya 2 17 3 3 11 26:44 12
18 Al Khor 2 17 3 2 12 21:78 11
Promotion - QSL 2015/2016 (Main)