Sport Picks
Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Qatar
QSL 2025/2026 Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
39'
39'
Al Raeesi Y.
48'
48'
Brahimi Y.
54'
54'
Traore A.
AI Match Summary
The QSL 2025/2026 game between Al Gharafa and Al Shahaniya finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Shahaniya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Shahaniya carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Al Gharafa's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Gharafa Clean Sheet 13%
Al Shahaniya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Gharafa | Al Shahaniya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya
2:1
Apr 27, 2026 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Gharafa Compare
Top Goalscorer Brahimi Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Al Shahaniya Compare
Top Goalscorer Antonucci F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Gharafa 40 / 100
Al Shahaniya 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Gharafa Al Shahaniya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Al Gharafa scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Al Shahaniya has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Al Gharafa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Gharafa VS Al Shahaniya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Gharafa
(Home) 01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2 Al Mesaimeer
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1 Al Gharafa
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1 Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1 Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 7
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2 Al Mesaimeer
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
27 Aug
Al Gharafa
1 : 3 Shamal
21 Aug
Al Gharafa
2 : 1 Al Shahaniya
09 May
Al Gharafa
4 : 1 Al Sadd
Page 1 of 4
Al Shahaniya
(Away) 28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3 Al Duhail
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1 Al Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2 Al Shahaniya
29 Aug
Al Shahaniya
3 : 2 Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1 Al Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2 Al Shahaniya
21 Aug
Al Gharafa
2 : 1 Al Shahaniya
05 Aug
Marseille
3 : 0 Al Shahaniya
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 56:30 | 45 |
| 2 | Shamal | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 39:28 | 40 |
| 3 | Al Rayyan | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 4 | Al Gharafa | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36:36 | 36 |
| 5 | Al Duhail | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40:27 | 33 |
| 6 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 37:41 | 32 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 36:34 | 30 |
| 8 | Qatar SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 32:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Al Ahli | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 34:43 | 26 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 25:38 | 22 |
| 11 | Al Shahaniya | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:39 | 21 |
| 12 | Umm-Salal | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 37:56 | 20 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)
