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Al Gharraf vs Al Golan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Gharraf host Al Golan in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Gharraf at 0.93 goals for, 1.41 against; Al Golan at 1 for, 1.13 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.13) point toward Al Golan. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Al Gharraf
35%
Draws
56%
Al Golan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Golan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Gharraf have won more games recently than Al Golan.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Al Golan taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 20%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharraf Al Golan
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 6 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharraf 28 / 100
Al Golan 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharraf Al Golan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Golan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Golan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 8 matches.

Al Gharraf found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Al Gharraf remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Al Golan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf VS Al Golan
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharraf

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 6

Al Golan

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)