Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Gharraf vs Al Minaa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Bindjeme S.
58'
Bindjeme S.
61' Event
Samia Y.
Assist: Azzawi A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Gharraf and Al Minaa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Minaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Gharraf
40%
Draws
29%
Al Minaa
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Minaa haven't matched Al Gharraf's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 16%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharraf Al Minaa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Minaa
0:1
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Gharraf Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Samia Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharraf 31 / 100
Al Minaa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharraf Al Minaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Minaa conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Gharraf stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Gharraf scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf VS Al Minaa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharraf

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2
Naft Missan
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3
Al Gharraf
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2
Al Gharraf
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
10 May
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Gharraf
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Al Minaa

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
24 May
Al Minaa
2 : 2
Zakho
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Al Minaa
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)