Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Gharraf vs Al Shorta

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Barco C.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Hadhri A.
Assist: Faisal A.
84' Event
Basim A.
Assist: Zeero A.

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Gharraf
20%
Draws
57%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Shorta lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharraf.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Al Shorta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Shorta here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 23%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharraf Al Shorta
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Shorta
1:2
May 10, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Gharraf
1:0
Feb 4, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Shorta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Gharraf Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadhri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Basim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharraf 16 / 100
Al Shorta 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharraf Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Al Gharraf scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Shorta conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Al Gharraf has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf VS Al Shorta
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharraf

(Home)
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
26 Aug
Al Minaa
3 : 0
Al Gharraf
22 Aug
Al Gharraf
1 : 0
Newroz
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Al Shorta

(Away)
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
30 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Mosul
25 Aug
Al Golan
0 : 1
Al Shorta
21 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 1
Al Shorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Al-Karma 7 5 2 0 13:5 17
3 Newroz 7 4 2 1 13:4 14
4 Erbil 7 4 2 1 9:3 14
5 Al Naft 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
6 Al Shorta 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
7 Al Golan 7 2 3 2 6:7 9
8 Zakho 7 2 3 2 7:10 9
9 Duhok 7 1 5 1 10:10 8
10 Diyala 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
11 Al Mosul 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
12 Al Minaa 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 7 1 4 2 10:11 7
14 Ghaz Al Shamal 7 1 4 2 4:5 7
15 Al Kahraba 7 1 4 2 6:8 7
16 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
17 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
18 Al Talaba 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
19 Karbala 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
20 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)