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Al Gharraf vs Diyala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Abd A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Gharraf and Diyala finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Gharraf
28%
Draws
22%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Gharraf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Al Gharraf's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Diyala have produced (0.63).
  • Win probability leans Al Gharraf's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 68%
Diyala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharraf Diyala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Diyala
0:0
Jan 22, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Gharraf
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharraf 59 / 100
Diyala 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharraf Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diyala let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Al Gharraf has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Diyala has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al Gharraf's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf VS Diyala
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharraf

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2
Naft Missan
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3
Al Gharraf
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2
Al Gharraf
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
10 May
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

Diyala

(Away)
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4
Baghdad
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
11 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Diyala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)