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Al Ghazieh vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Amelinsa E.
90' Event
Abou Zeid H.
90' Event
Ghadar E.

AI Match Summary

Al Ghazieh in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ghazieh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al Ghazieh
28%
Draws
50%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley have won more games recently than Al Ghazieh.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 16%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ghazieh Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2022 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
3:0
Oct 3, 2020 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Ghazieh
1:0
Oct 27, 2019 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Ghazieh
0:0
Apr 20, 2019 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Ghazieh
0:2
Nov 24, 2018 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ghazieh Compare

Top Goalscorer Amelinsa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abou Zeid H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ghazieh 23 / 100
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ghazieh Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Al Ghazieh scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Al Ghazieh stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ghazieh VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ghazieh

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Ghazieh
1 : 4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
30 Jun
Al Ghazieh
0 : 3
Al Sahel
26 Jun
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Ghazieh
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Racing
0 : 4
Al Ghazieh
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Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

(Away)
17 Mar
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1 : 2
Bourj
10 Mar
Al Hikma
2 : 1
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
04 Mar
Salam Zgharta
0 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
24 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2 : 2
Safa
19 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 0
Tadamon
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar1183028:727
2Al Sahel1174017:525
3Al Ahed1173120:824
4Nejmeh SC1172218:723
5Bourj1172217:1123
6Al Ghazieh1133512:1612
7Safa112458:1510
8Tadamon1124511:1510
9Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1121810:257
10Salam Zgharta111467:157
11Al Hikma112189:157
12Tripoli SC110564:225
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2022/2023 (Losers stage)