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Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Siblini M.
14' Event
Ghadar E.
Own Goal
43' Event
Salami H.

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Ghazieh
44%
Draws
20%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Sahel have won more games recently than Al Ghazieh.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Sahel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 20%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ghazieh Al Sahel
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
0:3
Jun 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ghazieh
4:0
Mar 3, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ghazieh
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ghazieh Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Siblini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salami H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ghazieh 36 / 100
Al Sahel 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ghazieh Al Sahel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Ghazieh scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Al Sahel has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Al Ghazieh has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Sahel
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%