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Al Ghazieh vs Safa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kassas A.
45' Event
Itami J.
54' Event
Michael R.

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Ghazieh
15%
Draws
65%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Safa lately — more wins on the board than Al Ghazieh.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Safa taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Safa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 23%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ghazieh Safa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Safa
0:4
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ghazieh
3:0
Sep 2, 2022 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ghazieh
1:1
Dec 8, 2020 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Safa
0:1
Sep 29, 2019 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ghazieh
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ghazieh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Itami J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ghazieh 16 / 100
Safa 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ghazieh Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Al Ghazieh's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Al Ghazieh remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Safa
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ghazieh

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Ghazieh
1 : 4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
30 Jun
Al Ghazieh
0 : 3
Al Sahel
26 Jun
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Ghazieh
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Racing
0 : 4
Al Ghazieh
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Safa

(Away)
08 Oct
Safa
2 : 1
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 11 10 1 0 31:7 31
2 Safa 11 9 2 0 30:4 29
3 Al Ahed 11 9 1 1 34:11 28
4 Nejmeh SC 11 5 2 4 12:8 17
5 Al Hikma 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
6 Tadamon 11 4 2 5 13:14 14
7 Al Sahel 11 4 1 6 14:21 13
8 Racing 11 1 6 4 4:14 9
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 11 1 5 5 7:15 8
10 Bourj 11 2 1 8 7:21 7
11 Al Ghazieh 11 1 3 7 5:18 6
12 Shabab Baalbeck 11 1 2 8 4:29 5
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Losers stage)