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Al Ghazieh vs Safa

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kassas A.
45' Event
Itami J.
54' Event
Michael R.

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Al Ghazieh
11%
Draws
80%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Safa lately — more wins on the board than Al Ghazieh.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Safa taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Safa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 19%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ghazieh Safa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Safa
0:4
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ghazieh
3:0
Sep 2, 2022 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ghazieh
1:1
Dec 8, 2020 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Safa
0:1
Sep 29, 2019 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ghazieh
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ghazieh Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Itami J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ghazieh 12 / 100
Safa 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ghazieh Safa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Al Ghazieh's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Al Ghazieh remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Safa
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar11101031:731
2Safa1192030:429
3Al Ahed1191134:1128
4Nejmeh SC1152412:817
5Al Hikma1144312:1116
6Tadamon1142513:1414
7Al Sahel1141614:2113
8Racing111644:149
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah111557:158
10Bourj112187:217
11Al Ghazieh111375:186
12Shabab Baalbeck111284:295