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Al Ghazieh vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
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Match Events

12' Event
Bazzi H.
83' Event
Qabisi A.
90' Event
Qabisi A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Al Ghazieh and Tadamon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ghazieh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Ghazieh
39%
Draws
31%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ghazieh have managed 0 goals a game lately — Tadamon are scoring more at 0.63.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 68%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ghazieh Tadamon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Tadamon
2:1
May 3, 2024 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Ghazieh
0:5
Mar 22, 2024 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Ghazieh
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Tadamon
0:1
Aug 4, 2023 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Ghazieh
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ghazieh Compare

Top Goalscorer Qabisi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazzi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ghazieh 41 / 100
Tadamon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ghazieh Tadamon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tadamon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Tadamon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Ghazieh scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tadamon
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar11101031:731
2Safa1192030:429
3Al Ahed1191134:1128
4Nejmeh SC1152412:817
5Al Hikma1144312:1116
6Tadamon1142513:1414
7Al Sahel1141614:2113
8Racing111644:149
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah111557:158
10Bourj112187:217
11Al Ghazieh111375:186
12Shabab Baalbeck111284:295