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Al Golan vs Al Karkh Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Tanji H.
Penalty Missed
87' Event
Diaa H.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Golan and Al Karkh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Golan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Golan
35%
Draws
35%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Karkh come out ahead of Al Golan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Golan a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 20%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Golan Al Karkh
Matches Played 8 28
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Golan vs Al Karkh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Golan Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaa H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Karkh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Golan 36 / 100
Al Karkh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Golan Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Al Golan's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Solid form: Al Golan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Golan VS Al Karkh
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Golan

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 2

Al Karkh

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)