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Al Golan vs Al Shorta Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Atiba L.
Assist: Ali H.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Golan and Al Shorta finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Golan
35%
Draws
42%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Al Golan haven't matched Al Shorta's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Shorta taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 23%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Golan Al Shorta
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 2 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Stars League
Al Golan vs Al Shorta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Golan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Atiba L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Golan 29 / 100
Al Shorta 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Golan Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Golan scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Al Golan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Shorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Golan VS Al Shorta
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Golan

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 2

Al Shorta

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
16 Sept
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Seeb
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)