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Al Golan vs Erbil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Golan host Erbil in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Golan at 1.46 goals for, 0.92 against; Erbil at 1.77 for, 0.81 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.25) point toward Erbil. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al Golan
30%
Draws
27%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Golan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Erbil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 19%
Erbil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Golan Erbil
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 10
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.46 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Golan 31 / 100
Erbil 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Golan Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Golan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Al Golan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Golan scored in 69% of their last 13 outings.

Erbil let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Erbil registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Golan VS Erbil
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Golan

(Home)
07 Nov
Al Zawraa
0 : 3
Al Golan
29 Oct
Al Mosul
2 : 4
Al Golan
23 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 1
Al Kahraba
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Golan
Page 1 of 3

Erbil

(Away)
08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1
Al Gharraf
04 Nov
Erbil
6 : 0
Kazma SC
30 Oct
Erbil
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
28 Oct
Erbil
3 : 0
Al Ettifaq FC
22 Oct
Zakho
2 : 1
Erbil
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)