Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Golan vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Neto Acara
Assist: Ismael M. D.
72'
Mohammed Jasim
72'
Mohammed Jasim

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Golan and Newroz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Golan
30%
Draws
51%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Golan haven't matched Newroz's recent run of results.
  • Newroz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 20%
Newroz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Golan Newroz
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.53
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Stars League
Al Golan vs Newroz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Golan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto Acara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Golan 10 / 100
Newroz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Golan Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newroz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Al Golan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Golan's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Defensive concern: Newroz conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Golan VS Newroz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Golan

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
25 Aug
Al Golan
0 : 1
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 2

Newroz

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 3
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 7 5 2 0 13:5 17
2 Al Zawraa 7 4 3 0 13:3 15
3 Newroz 7 4 2 1 13:4 14
4 Erbil 7 4 2 1 9:3 14
5 Al Naft 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
6 Al Shorta 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
7 Al Golan 7 2 3 2 6:7 9
8 Zakho 7 2 3 2 7:10 9
9 Duhok 7 1 5 1 10:10 8
10 Diyala 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
11 Al Mosul 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
12 Al Minaa 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 7 1 4 2 10:11 7
14 Ghaz Al Shamal 7 1 4 2 4:5 7
15 Al Kahraba 7 1 4 2 6:8 7
16 Naft Missan 7 1 4 2 4:8 7
17 Al Talaba 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
18 Karbala 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
19 Al Gharraf 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
20 Al Karkh 7 1 1 5 7:12 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)