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Al Golan vs Newroz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Neto Acara
Assist: Ismael M. D.
72'
Mohammed Jasim
72'
Mohammed Jasim

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Golan and Newroz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Golan
30%
Draws
32%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Golan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Golan haven't matched Newroz's recent run of results.
  • Al Golan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 68%
Newroz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Golan Newroz
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.46 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Stars League
Al Golan vs Newroz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Golan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto Acara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Golan 68 / 100
Newroz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Golan Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Golan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Al Golan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Golan scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Newroz conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Golan VS Newroz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Golan

(Home)
07 Nov
Al Zawraa
0 : 3
Al Golan
29 Oct
Al Mosul
2 : 4
Al Golan
23 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 1
Al Kahraba
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Golan
Page 1 of 3

Newroz

(Away)
06 Nov
Newroz
1 : 0
Karbala
31 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Newroz
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0
Al Minaa
09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)