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Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Division 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Alnofall L.
42' Event
Vuckic H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Hamriyah
15%
Draws
45%
Al Thaid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Thaid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Thaid lately — more wins on the board than Al Hamriyah.
  • Win probability leans Al Thaid's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Hamriyah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Thaid Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hamriyah Al Thaid
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Division 1
Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Al Hamriyah
0:0
May 30, 2025 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Al Hamriyah
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 Division 1
Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Presidents Cup
Al Thaid vs Al Hamriyah
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hamriyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuckic H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Thaid Compare

Top Goalscorer Alnofall L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hamriyah 20 / 100
Al Thaid 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hamriyah Al Thaid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Thaid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hamriyah found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Al Thaid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Hamriyah stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hamriyah VS Al Thaid
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hamriyah

(Home)
05 Sept
Palm City
2 : 1
Al Hamriyah
30 Aug
Al Hamriyah
1 : 0
Forte Virtus
23 Aug
Dibba Al Hisn
4 : 0
Al Hamriyah
29 May
Al Hamriyah
2 : 0
United FC
23 May
Emirates Club
0 : 3
Al Hamriyah
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Al Thaid

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Thaid
2 : 0
Dibba Al Fujairah
04 Sept
Gulf United
2 : 3
Al Thaid
28 Aug
Al Thaid
5 : 1
Dubai City
21 Aug
Al Urooba
1 : 1
Al Thaid
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Thaid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatta 28 18 5 5 57:25 59
2 United FC 28 17 7 4 45:28 58
3 Al Urooba 28 17 6 5 38:17 57
4 Dibba Al Hisn 28 17 5 6 58:25 56
5 Al Arabi (UAE) 28 15 5 8 44:34 50
6 Al Thaid 28 13 9 6 37:30 48
7 Emirates Club 28 12 6 10 38:39 42
8 Al Fujairah 28 10 9 9 46:47 39
9 Al Hamriyah 28 10 8 10 45:34 38
10 Gulf United 28 7 4 17 39:52 25
11 Al Jazira Hamra 28 6 6 16 35:51 24
12 Al-Ittifaq 28 7 3 18 37:57 24
13 Dubai City 28 6 5 17 29:55 23
14 Majd FC 28 5 6 17 30:56 21
15 Masfut 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
Promotion - UAE League (Main)