Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Hazem Rass vs Al Fateh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hazem Rass host Al Fateh in the Saudi Professional League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Al Hazem Rass at 1.24 goals for, 1.66 against; Al Fateh at 0.9 for, 1.72 against. Past meetings favor Al Fateh slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.81) point toward Al Hazem Rass. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Hazem Rass
35%
Draws
24%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Hazem Rass

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hazem Rass lately — more wins on the board than Al Fateh.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hazem Rass Al Fateh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.24 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Hazem Rass
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Fateh
0:0
May 23, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Hazem Rass
2:1
Dec 7, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Fateh
2:0
Feb 18, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Fateh
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hazem Rass 31 / 100
Al Fateh 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hazem Rass Al Fateh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hazem Rass Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Fateh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Hazem Rass scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Hazem Rass stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hazem Rass VS Al Fateh
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hazem Rass

(Home)
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 0
Al Taawon
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
24 Aug
Al Ittihad
3 : 2
Al Hazem Rass
Page 1 of 6

Al Fateh

(Away)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)