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Al Hazem Rass vs Al Hilal

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Hazem Club Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hazem Rass play Al Hilal in the Saudi Professional League. Al Hilal are favorites here. Recently, Al Hazem Rass averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Al Hilal averaged 2.26 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, Al Hazem Rass won 0, Al Hilal won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Al Hazem Rass and 1.94 for Al Hilal. This points to a Al Hilal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Al Hazem Rass
16%
Draws
59%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Hazem Rass picked up more points recently compared to Al Hilal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 10%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hazem Rass Al Hilal
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 25
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.2 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Hilal
0:3
Jan 8, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Hazem Rass
3:0
May 11, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Hazem Rass
4:1
Nov 25, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Hilal
0:9
Oct 30, 2023 King Cup
Al Hilal vs Al Hazem Rass
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hazem Rass Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Benzema K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos Leonardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hazem Rass 25 / 100
Al Hilal 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hazem Rass Al Hilal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Hilal & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Hazem Rass attacking → ← attacking Al Hilal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hazem Rass scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Al Hilal let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Al Hazem Rass went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Hilal lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 83
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616