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Al Hidd vs Al Ahli

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Sayed Hashim

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Hidd
30%
Draws
23%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hidd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Ahli at 1.23 per game, Al Hidd at 1.21.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Hidd taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Hidd Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hidd Al Ahli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Al Hidd vs Al Ahli
0:1
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Hidd
0:1
Jan 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Hidd vs Al Ahli
3:3
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Hidd
3:3
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Al Hidd vs Al Ahli
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hidd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayed Hashim
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hidd 42 / 100
Al Ahli 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hidd Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hidd's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Hidd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hidd VS Al Ahli
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hidd

(Home)
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al Hidd
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1
Al Ahli
28 Aug
East Riffa
0 : 2
Al Hidd
15 May
Al Hidd
1 : 0
Al Shabbab
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hidd
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1
Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hidd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Al Riffa 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
3 Al Ittifaq 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Sitra 3 1 2 0 3:0 5
5 Al Ahli 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
6 Al Hidd 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
7 Al Muharraq 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Aali Club 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
9 East Riffa 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Al Najma 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
11 Manama Club 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
12 Malkia 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)