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Al Hikma vs Safa

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Hijazi A.
Assist: Tlays M.
61' Event
Saloom A.
Assist: Kdouh M. J.
90' Event
Kdouh M. J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Hikma
20%
Draws
47%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hikma haven't matched Safa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Safa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Al Hikma Clean Sheet 17%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hikma Safa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Safa
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Hikma
0:0
Jul 7, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Hikma
2:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Hikma
4:0
Apr 24, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Safa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hikma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hijazi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Saloom A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hikma 31 / 100
Safa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hikma Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hikma found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Safa let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Hikma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Hikma VS Safa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hikma

(Home)
08 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 0
Al Hikma
03 Jul
Al Hikma
0 : 1
Nejmeh SC
29 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
20 Jun
Al Hikma
3 : 3
Jwayya SC
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Safa

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)