Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Hilal Karima vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Hilal Karima
39%
Draws
31%
Al-Ahly Merowe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ahly Merowe have won more games recently than Al Hilal Karima.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al Hilal Karima Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Karima Al-Ahly Merowe
Matches Played 10 27
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 13
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Premier League
Al Hilal Karima vs Al-Ahly Merowe
2:2
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Hilal Karima
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal Karima 31 / 100
Al-Ahly Merowe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Karima Al-Ahly Merowe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal Karima's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Al-Ahly Merowe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Hilal Karima remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal Karima VS Al-Ahly Merowe
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010