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Al-Hilal Omdurman II vs Al-Mergheni

Sudan Sudan

Premier League Al Hilal Stadium, Omdurman
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Hilal Omdurman II and Al-Mergheni finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
35%
Draws
14%
Al-Mergheni
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al-Hilal Omdurman II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Hilal Omdurman II come out ahead of Al-Mergheni on wins alone.
  • Al-Hilal Omdurman II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al-Hilal Omdurman II Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hilal Omdurman II Al-Mergheni
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 4 14
Losses 0 11
Goals Scored 1.94 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.35 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1:2
Jan 20, 2026 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman II vs Al-Mergheni
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hilal Omdurman II 85 / 100
Al-Mergheni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hilal Omdurman II Al-Mergheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Hilal Omdurman II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Al-Hilal Omdurman II has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Mergheni has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Al-Hilal Omdurman II found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (17 games).

Scoring Trends

Al-Hilal Omdurman II VS Al-Mergheni
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hilal Omdurman II

(Home)
10 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh II
05 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
02 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
28 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 4

Al-Mergheni

(Away)
14 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al-Mergheni
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman II 10 6 4 0 17:5 22
2 Hilal Alsahil 10 5 4 1 13:6 19
3 Al Shorta 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Al Taqadom 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Al-Mergheni 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
6 Kober 10 1 2 7 3:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 10 10 0 0 24:6 30
2 Umm Mughad 10 5 3 2 18:8 18
3 Al Hilal Manaqil 10 3 5 2 10:7 14
4 Rabita Kosti 10 3 1 6 7:14 10
5 Ahli Khartoum 10 1 3 6 7:21 6
6 Merikh Kosti 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Merreikh II 10 6 4 0 15:7 22
2 Alfalah Atbra 10 3 4 3 5:4 13
3 Al Saham Ad Damer 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
4 Al Hilal Karima 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Al-Ahly Merowe 10 1 6 3 6:8 9
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilal El-Fasher 10 5 4 1 11:7 19
2 Hay Al Wadi 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
3 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Al Fajr 10 3 3 4 16:18 12
5 Zamala Ruwaba 10 3 2 5 11:13 11
6 Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)