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Al Hilal Omdurman vs Kator - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 Al Hilal Stadium, Omdurman
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Cole K.
12' Event
Dicson G.
17' Event
Adetunji S.

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal Omdurman in this CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Al Hilal Omdurman
20%
Draws
11%
Kator
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Hilal Omdurman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Al Hilal Omdurman have won more games recently than Kator.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Al Hilal Omdurman taking it.
  • Al Hilal Omdurman have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Hilal Omdurman, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Al Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 68%
Kator Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Omdurman Kator
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 18 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.76 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Kator
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hilal Omdurman Compare

Top Goalscorer Cole K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adetunji S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Kator Compare

Top Goalscorer Dicson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal Omdurman 95 / 100
Kator 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Omdurman Kator

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Omdurman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal Omdurman scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kator let in goals in 67% of their last 6 matches.

Solid form: Al Hilal Omdurman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal Omdurman VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal Omdurman

(Home)
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
07 Aug
Jamus
1 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

Kator

(Away)
10 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
3 : 1
Kator
07 Sept
Mogadishu City
0 : 0
Kator
04 Sept
Kator
0 : 0
Madani
04 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Kator
01 Jul
JKU
2 : 0
Kator
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singida Black Stars 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Police FC 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
4 Garde-Cotes 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Kinondoni MC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Mlandege 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Bumamuru 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Mogadishu City 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Madani 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Kator 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)