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Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Al Hilal Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Hilal Omdurman play Musanze in the Premier League. Al-Hilal Omdurman are favorites here. Recently, Al-Hilal Omdurman averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Musanze averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Hilal Omdurman won 2, Musanze won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Hilal Omdurman and 1.00 for Musanze. This points to a Al-Hilal Omdurman double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
25%
Draws
15%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al-Hilal Omdurman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Hilal Omdurman picked up more points recently compared to Musanze.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 23%
Musanze Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hilal Omdurman Musanze
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 24 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Musanze
2:0
Jan 5, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hilal Omdurman 59 / 100
Musanze 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hilal Omdurman Musanze

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Hilal Omdurman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Al-Hilal Omdurman & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Hilal Omdurman attacking → ← attacking Musanze

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hilal Omdurman scored in 72% of their last 39 games.

Musanze let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Al-Hilal Omdurman went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Musanze lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

80 Points in last 5 38
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729