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Al Hilal vs Al Kholood

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Kingdom Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Al Harbi M.
Assist: Milinkovic-Savic S.
8' Event
Benzema K.
Assist: Malcom
19'
Sawan M.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Hilal and Al Kholood finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Hilal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Hilal
6%
Draws
4%
Al Kholood
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Hilal come out ahead of Al Kholood on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Hilal a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Hilal have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 68%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Al Kholood
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 25 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 King Cup
Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Kholood
6:0
Dec 31, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
1:3
Feb 25, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Kholood
5:1
Sep 28, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Benzema K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Al Harbi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Al Kholood Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal 95 / 100
Al Kholood 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Al Kholood

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal scored in 94% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Al Hilal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Kholood conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal VS Al Kholood
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616