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Al Hilal vs Al Najma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
Al Hilal Logo

Al Hilal

4 - 0
FT
Al Najma Logo

Al Najma

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Al Haleel N.
43' Event
Benzema K.
Assist: Al Dawsari S.
44'
Sub
Boutobba B. In: Al Shammari K.
Out: Boutobba B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Hilal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Hilal
35%
Draws
16%
Al Najma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hilal have won more games recently than Al Najma.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Al Hilal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Hilal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 68%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Al Najma
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 20 4
Draws 3 9
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.46 1
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Najma
4:0
Nov 7, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Hilal
2:4
Feb 27, 2003 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Najma
1:1
Nov 22, 2002 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Hilal
1:2
Jan 29, 2002 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Najma
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Benzema K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Malcom
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Al Najma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal 86 / 100
Al Najma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Al Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Hilal scored in 92% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Najma conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al Hilal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal VS Al Najma
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
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Al Najma

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1
Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0
Al Najma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)