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Al Hilal vs Neom SC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
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Match Events

10' Event
Neves R.
(Penalty)
29'
Mandash S.
58' Event
Mandash S.
Assist: Malcom

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Hilal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Hilal
15%
Draws
36%
Neom SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hilal have won more games recently than Neom SC.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Al Hilal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Hilal have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 16%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Neom SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 22 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.43 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Neom SC
0:2
May 16, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Neom SC
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Hilal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandash S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Neom SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal 84 / 100
Neom SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Neom SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Hilal scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Neom SC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Al Hilal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal VS Neom SC
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
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Neom SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)