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Al Hilal vs Neom SC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Koulibaly K.
Own Goal
23'
Milinkovic-Savic S.
45' Event
Hejji A.
Assist: Kone A.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Hilal and Neom SC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neom SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Hilal
15%
Draws
36%
Neom SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Hilal come out ahead of Neom SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Hilal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Hilal here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 68%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Neom SC
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 23 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.44 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Neom SC
0:2
May 16, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Neom SC
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Hilal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hilal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hejji A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal 59 / 100
Neom SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Neom SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Neom SC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Al Hilal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal VS Neom SC
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
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Neom SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)