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Al-Hudod vs Al Talaba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Maaroufi G.
16' Event
Oueslati H.
51' Event
Msuva S.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2024/2025 game between Al-Hudod and Al Talaba finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Talaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al-Hudod
30%
Draws
28%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Hudod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Hudod haven't matched Al Talaba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al-Hudod's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al-Hudod Clean Sheet 20%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hudod Al Talaba
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 14
Draws 2 11
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al Talaba
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al-Hudod
1:0
May 26, 2024 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al Talaba
1:2
Feb 29, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al-Hudod
0:1
Apr 19, 2023 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al-Hudod
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Hudod Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Maaroufi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oueslati H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hudod 36 / 100
Al Talaba 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hudod Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hudod scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Al Talaba let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al-Hudod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Talaba
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hudod

(Home)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al-Hudod
18 Jun
Al-Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
20 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
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Al Talaba

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)