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Al Hudod vs Erbil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
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Match Events

78' Event
Karim S.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2024/2025 game between Al Hudod and Erbil finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erbil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Hudod
15%
Draws
45%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erbil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Erbil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Erbil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Hudod Clean Sheet 16%
Erbil Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hudod Erbil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 2 8
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 1.13 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Stars League
Al Hudod vs Erbil
0:1
Nov 26, 2024 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Hudod
3:1
May 17, 2024 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Hudod
0:0
Mar 4, 2024 Stars League
Al Hudod vs Erbil
1:0
Apr 9, 2023 Stars League
Al Hudod vs Erbil
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hudod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Erbil Compare

Top Goalscorer Karim S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hudod 10 / 100
Erbil 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hudod Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Hudod scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Hudod remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Erbil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erbil
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hudod

(Home)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al Hudod
18 Jun
Al Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al Hudod
20 May
Al Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Erbil

(Away)
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al Karma
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)