Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Hudod vs Naft Missan

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Da Costa R.

AI Match Summary

Al-Hudod in this Stars League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Hudod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al-Hudod
20%
Draws
29%
Naft Missan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Hudod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naft Missan lately — more wins on the board than Al-Hudod.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Al-Hudod Clean Sheet 23%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hudod Naft Missan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Naft Missan
1:0
Jan 9, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al-Hudod
3:1
May 13, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al-Hudod
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Naft Missan
1:2
Jul 3, 2023 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Naft Missan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Hudod Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Naft Missan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hudod 33 / 100
Naft Missan 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hudod Naft Missan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Missan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hudod's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Naft Missan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al-Hudod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naft Missan
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hudod

(Home)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al-Hudod
18 Jun
Al-Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
20 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Naft Missan

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Naft Missan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)