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Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Shorta Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League Aleppo International Stadium, Aleppo
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Match Events

3' Event
Mahop E.
7' Event
Baaj A.
Own Goal
32' Event
Al Ahmad A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Ittihad Aleppo and Al Shorta finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ittihad Aleppo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
20%
Draws
28%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ittihad Aleppo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Ittihad Aleppo come out ahead of Al Shorta on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al-Ittihad Aleppo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Ittihad Aleppo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo Clean Sheet 68%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Aleppo Al Shorta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 2.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Shorta
4:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
0:2
May 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
0:2
Mar 18, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Shorta
1:0
Sep 17, 2021 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ittihad Aleppo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahop E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ahmad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Shorta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad Aleppo 95 / 100
Al Shorta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Aleppo Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ittihad Aleppo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad Aleppo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al-Ittihad Aleppo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Al Shorta let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad Aleppo VS Al Shorta
3.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ittihad Aleppo

(Home)
11 Aug
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0
Hottin
19 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
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Al Shorta

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
13 Jun
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al-Shouleh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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