Sport Picks
Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Homs Al Fidaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
AFC Challenge League Aleppo International Stadium, Aleppo 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the AFC Challenge League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Al Ittihad Aleppo at 2.72 goals for, 0.86 against; Homs Al Fidaa at 1.9 for, 0.47 against. Head-to-head, Al Ittihad Aleppo have won 1 to Homs Al Fidaa's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.31) back Homs Al Fidaa to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Ittihad Aleppo haven't matched Homs Al Fidaa's recent run of results.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Homs Al Fidaa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Homs Al Fidaa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ittihad Aleppo | Homs Al Fidaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 22 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 2.72 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ittihad Aleppo scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Al Ittihad Aleppo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Homs Al Fidaa let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.
