Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Ismaily

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Emad M.
14'
Sub
Magdi A. In: Wahid Y.
Out: Magdi A.
37'
Abdelfattah K.

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad Alexandria in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
6%
Draws
4%
El Ismaily
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ittihad Alexandria has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to El Ismaily.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al Ittihad Alexandria.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria El Ismaily
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Ismaily
3:0
Aug 19, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 League Cup
El Ismaily vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
2:0
Apr 10, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Ismaily
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebuka J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alaa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

El Ismaily Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 95 / 100
El Ismaily 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria El Ismaily

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad Alexandria scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

El Ismaily let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Al Ittihad Alexandria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

El Ismaily lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS El Ismaily
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220