Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Asyut Petroleum

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Emad M.
45'
Younes A.
46'
Sub
Arumala J. In: Alaa N.
Out: Arumala J.

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad Alexandria in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
30%
Draws
12%
Asyut Petroleum
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Asyut Petroleum at 1.21 per game, Al Ittihad Alexandria at 1.1.
  • Win probability leans Al Ittihad Alexandria's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria Asyut Petroleum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0
May 3, 2010 Premier League
Asyut Petroleum vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
4:2
Dec 11, 2009 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Asyut Petroleum
4:0
Apr 27, 2009 Premier League
Asyut Petroleum vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
Nov 29, 2008 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Asyut Petroleum
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaa N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Asyut Petroleum Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 50 / 100
Asyut Petroleum 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria Asyut Petroleum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad Alexandria scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Asyut Petroleum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Ittihad Alexandria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS Asyut Petroleum
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
21 Aug
Zamalek
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

Asyut Petroleum

(Away)
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
National Bank Egypt
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)