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Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahly Tripoli

Libya Libya

Premier League Tripoli International Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Ittihad
39%
Draws
31%
Al Ahly Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ittihad haven't matched Al Ahly Tripoli's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Al Ahly Tripoli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 22
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al-Ittihad
4:1
Jun 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al-Ittihad
0:1
Apr 29, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:0
Feb 29, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al-Ittihad
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 31 / 100
Al Ahly Tripoli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Al Ahly Tripoli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Al-Ittihad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al Ahly Tripoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 37% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad VS Al Ahly Tripoli
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%