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Al-Ittihad vs Al-Budaiya

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Khalil A.
Own Goal
12' Event
Hassan M.
42' Event
Soares A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Al-Budaiya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al-Ittihad
28%
Draws
50%
Al-Budaiya
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al-Budaiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Al-Budaiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al-Budaiya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Al-Budaiya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Budaiya, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al-Budaiya here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Al-Budaiya
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Budaiya
0:1
Jan 24, 2025 King's Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Budaiya
2:3
Jan 13, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Budaiya
1:3
Mar 20, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Ittihad
2:0
Mar 25, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Budaiya
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Hassan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al-Budaiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saud N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 24 / 100
Al-Budaiya 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Al-Budaiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Al-Budaiya conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Al-Budaiya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad VS Al-Budaiya
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ittihad

(Home)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5
Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Al-Budaiya

(Away)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Busaiteen0
Bahrain SC4
TBD-
Al Riffa-
East Riffa2
Ali CSC0
TBD-
Manama Club-
Tadamun Buri0
Bouri1
TBD-
Sitra-
Al-Ittifaq1
Isa Town0
TBD-
Al-Ahli-
Umm Al Hassam0
Al Reef1
TBD-
Al Khalidiyah-
Al-Hala3
Qalali0
TBD-
Al-Najma-
Al-Hidd2
Malkia1
TBD-
Al-Shabbab-
Al-Ittihad2
Al-Budaiya3
TBD-
Al-Muharraq-
1/8-finals
Bahrain SC0
Al Riffa2
East Riffa1
Manama Club0
Bouri0
Sitra1
Al-Ittifaq1
Al-Ahli2
Al Reef1
Al Khalidiyah6
Al-Hala3
Al-Najma1
Al-Hidd1
Al-Shabbab2
Al-Budaiya2
Al-Muharraq4
Quarter-finals
Al Riffa3
East Riffa2
Sitra2
Al-Ahli1
Al Khalidiyah6
Al-Hala2
Al-Shabbab1
Al-Muharraq2
Semi-finals
Al Riffa1
Sitra2
Al Khalidiyah2
Al-Muharraq0
Final
Sitra2
Al Khalidiyah3