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Al Ittihad vs Al Budaiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2024/2025
Al Ittihad Logo

Al Ittihad

2 - 3
FT
Al Budaiya Logo

Al Budaiya

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Khalil A.
Own Goal
12' Event
Hassan M.
42' Event
Soares A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Al Budaiya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al Ittihad
15%
Draws
85%
Al Budaiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Budaiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Budaiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Budaiya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Al Budaiya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Budaiya, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Budaiya here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%
Al Budaiya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Al Budaiya
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.24 1.15
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad vs Al Budaiya
0:1
Jan 24, 2025 King's Cup
Al Ittihad vs Al Budaiya
2:3
Jan 13, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Al Ittihad vs Al Budaiya
1:3
Mar 20, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Budaiya vs Al Ittihad
2:0
Mar 25, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al Ittihad vs Al Budaiya
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Hassan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Budaiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saud N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad 22 / 100
Al Budaiya 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Al Budaiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Budaiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Budaiya conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Al Ittihad found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Al Budaiya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad VS Al Budaiya
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad

(Home)
30 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al Ittihad
21 May
Al Najma
2 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Jan
Al Ittihad
1 : 5
Al Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al Ittihad
2 : 3
Al Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Budaiya

(Away)
30 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Budaiya
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
21 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al Budaiya
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Busaiteen 0
Bahrain SC 4
TBD -
Al Riffa -
East Riffa 2
Ali CSC 0
TBD -
Manama Club -
Tadamun Buri 0
Bouri 1
TBD -
Sitra -
Al Ittifaq 1
Isa Town 0
TBD -
Al Ahli -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al Reef 1
TBD -
Al Khalidiyah -
Al Hala 3
Qalali 0
TBD -
Al Najma -
Al Hidd 2
Malkia 1
TBD -
Al Shabbab -
Al Ittihad 2
Al Budaiya 3
TBD -
Al Muharraq -
1/8-finals
Bahrain SC 0
Al Riffa 2
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 0
Bouri 0
Sitra 1
Al Ittifaq 1
Al Ahli 2
Al Reef 1
Al Khalidiyah 6
Al Hala 3
Al Najma 1
Al Hidd 1
Al Shabbab 2
Al Budaiya 2
Al Muharraq 4
Quarter-finals
Al Riffa 3
East Riffa 2
Sitra 2
Al Ahli 1
Al Khalidiyah 6
Al Hala 2
Al Shabbab 1
Al Muharraq 2
Semi-finals
Al Riffa 1
Sitra 2
Al Khalidiyah 2
Al Muharraq 0
Final
Sitra 2
Al Khalidiyah 3