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Al-Ittihad vs Al Madina

Libya Libya

Premier League Tripoli International Stadium
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Al-Ittihad host Al Madina in the Premier League. Al-Ittihad are expected to control this from the start. Al-Ittihad have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Al Madina's 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Al-Ittihad have won 3 to Al Madina's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Al-Ittihad to edge this. Al-Ittihad in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Ittihad
6%
Draws
4%
Al Madina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Ittihad has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Madina.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al-Ittihad.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Al Madina
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Al Madina
2:1
May 30, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Al Madina
1:0
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al-Ittihad
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Al Madina
2:0
Oct 29, 2023 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al-Ittihad
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 85 / 100
Al Madina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Al Madina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Al Madina let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al-Ittihad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Madina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad VS Al Madina
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%