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Al Ittihad vs Al Madina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ittihad and Al Madina finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ittihad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Ittihad
30%
Draws
23%
Al Madina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad come out ahead of Al Madina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Al Madina
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 23 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad vs Al Madina
2:1
May 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad vs Al Madina
1:0
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Ittihad
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad vs Al Madina
2:0
Oct 29, 2023 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Ittihad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad 67 / 100
Al Madina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Al Madina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).

Al Madina let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Ittihad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad VS Al Madina
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad

(Home)
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2
Al Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
14 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Asswehly
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
07 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
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Al Madina

(Away)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
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