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Al-Ittihad vs Ali CSC

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
36' Event
50' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Al-Ittihad advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Ittihad
6%
Draws
90%
Ali CSC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ali CSC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ali CSC come out ahead of Al-Ittihad on wins alone.
  • Ali CSC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ali CSC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Ittihad, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Ali CSC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Ali CSC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 1 6
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Ali CSC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 10 / 100
Ali CSC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Ali CSC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ali CSC let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Al-Ittihad scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ali CSC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad VS Ali CSC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ittihad

(Home)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5
Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Ali CSC

(Away)
09 Jun
Al-Hala
1 : 2
Ali CSC
04 Jun
Ali CSC
0 : 1
Bahrain SC
31 May
Ali CSC
0 : 0
Isa Town
26 May
Ali CSC
0 : 2
Al-Muharraq
22 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0
Ali CSC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hidd550013:215
2Al Riffa531114:1010
3Ali CSC52128:107
4Al-Ittihad52038:96
5Isa Town51047:153
6Al-Budaiya51044:83
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manama Club550017:215
2Al-Ahli53119:310
3Busaiteen530210:119
4Al Reef52127:117
5Al-Najma51046:113
6Al-Ittifaq50054:150
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Khalidiyah550014:015
2Al-Shabbab531110:210
3Al-Hala52037:66
4Umm Al Hassam52035:86
5Qalali51132:94
6Malkia51042:153
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahrain SC532012:511
2Bouri52215:58
3East Riffa52128:37
4Al-Muharraq521213:107
5Sitra51225:65
6Tadamun Buri51044:183
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)