Sport Picks
Al-Ittihad vs Ittihad Gharyan
Libya
Premier League 2025/2026 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli 
AI Match Summary
Al-Ittihad in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Ittihad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Ittihad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al-Ittihad have won more games recently than Ittihad Gharyan.
- Model gives Al-Ittihad a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Ittihad Gharyan Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Ittihad | Ittihad Gharyan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 16 |
| Wins | 18 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Ittihad Gharyan vs Al-Ittihad
0:2
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Ittihad Gharyan
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Ittihad 85 / 100
Ittihad Gharyan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Ittihad Ittihad Gharyan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ittihad Gharyan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 16 matches.
Al-Ittihad found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Al-Ittihad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al-Ittihad VS Ittihad Gharyan
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Ittihad
(Home) 24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2 Al-Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1 Al-Ittihad
14 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1 Asswehly
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1 Asswehly
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Ahly Tripoli
20 Apr
Al-Ittihad
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
11 Apr
Al-Ittihad
4 : 1 Shabab Al-Ghar
Page 1 of 4
Ittihad Gharyan
(Away) 26 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2 Al-Ittihad
20 Apr
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 0 Ittihad Gharyan
15 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
1 : 1 Al Shomooa
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1 Ittihad Gharyan
16 Mar
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2 Al-Majd
Page 1 of 4
20 Apr
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 0 Ittihad Gharyan
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1 Ittihad Gharyan
05 Mar
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0 Ittihad Gharyan
22 Feb
Shabab Al-Ghar
2 : 1 Ittihad Gharyan
09 Feb
Al-Ittihad
3 : 0 Ittihad Gharyan
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
