Sport Picks
Al Ittihad vs Shabab Al Ghar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Libya
Premier League 2024/2025 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli 
Match Events
23'
23'
Emara E.
Assist: Fathi M.
34'
34'
Eissa M.
Assist: Al Tuhami M.
79'
79'
Eissa M.
Assist: Hamed Y.
AI Match Summary
Al Ittihad in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Ittihad have won more games recently than Shabab Al Ghar.
- Win probability leans Al Ittihad's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Al Ittihad have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al Ghar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ittihad | Shabab Al Ghar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 29 |
| Wins | 23 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad vs Shabab Al Ghar
4:1
Jan 22, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al Ghar vs Al Ittihad
1:3
Apr 10, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad vs Shabab Al Ghar
3:1
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ghar vs Al Ittihad
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ittihad Compare
Top Goalscorer Eissa M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Al Shinli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Shabab Al Ghar Compare
Top Goalscorer Emara E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ittihad 85 / 100
Shabab Al Ghar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ittihad Shabab Al Ghar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Al Ittihad found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).
Defensive concern: Shabab Al Ghar conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Al Ittihad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Ittihad VS Shabab Al Ghar
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ittihad
(Home) 24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2 Al Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
14 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1 Asswehly
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
07 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 8
14 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1 Asswehly
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
07 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Ahly Tripoli
20 Apr
Al Ittihad
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
11 Apr
Al Ittihad
4 : 1 Shabab Al Ghar
Page 1 of 4
Shabab Al Ghar
(Away) 25 Apr
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0 Shabab Al Ghar
20 Apr
Shabab Al Ghar
3 : 3 Al Tirsana
11 Apr
Al Ittihad
4 : 1 Shabab Al Ghar
17 Mar
Shabab Al Ghar
0 : 0 Olympic Azzaweya
11 Mar
Al Shomooa
3 : 1 Shabab Al Ghar
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0 Shabab Al Ghar
11 Apr
Al Ittihad
4 : 1 Shabab Al Ghar
11 Mar
Al Shomooa
3 : 1 Shabab Al Ghar
27 Feb
Al Majd
0 : 0 Shabab Al Ghar
03 Feb
Al Tirsana
1 : 2 Shabab Al Ghar
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20:9 | 32 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Tahaddi | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:14 | 25 |
| 4 | Khaleej Sirte | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Al Suqoor | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Al Anwar | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Al Borouq | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Ansar | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15:26 | 14 |
| 9 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9:14 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31:6 | 34 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 30:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Sadaqa | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 5 | Al Andalus | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:25 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Branes | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11:28 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Mahdia | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8:30 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asswehly | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36:12 | 40 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:13 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Majd | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:29 | 21 |
| 5 | Shabab Al Ghar | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Abu Salim | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Bashaer | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 8 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 22:22 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Nahda | 16 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5:48 | -3 |
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 38:4 | 42 |
| 2 | Al Madina | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:14 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 5 | Al Malaab El Libby | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 13:15 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Khmes | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 11:20 | 16 |
| 7 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Dahra | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:22 | 15 |
| 9 | Asaria | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:27 | 12 |
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
