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Al Jaish vs Al Karamah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League 2025/2026 Abbasiyyin Stadium, Damascus
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Match Events

89' Event
Ali M. K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Jaish and Al Karamah finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Karamah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Jaish
20%
Draws
52%
Al Karamah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Karamah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Karamah come out ahead of Al Jaish on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Karamah's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 13%
Al Karamah Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jaish Al Karamah
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.79 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al Karamah
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Al Jaish
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Al Jaish
2:1
Mar 15, 2024 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al Karamah
0:1
Nov 25, 2023 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Al Jaish
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jaish Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Karamah Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali M. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jaish 10 / 100
Al Karamah 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jaish Al Karamah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karamah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Karamah conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Jaish stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Jaish found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Jaish VS Al Karamah
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Jaish

(Home)
03 Jul
Al Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
13 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 0
Al Jaish
Page 1 of 6

Al Karamah

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
28 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 0
Al Shouleh
24 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
1 : 1
Al Karamah
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
12 Jun
Foutoua
2 : 4
Al Karamah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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