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Al Jaish vs Jableh

Syria Syria

Premier League Abbasiyyin Stadium, Damascus
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Match Events

16' Event
Al Waked M.
33' Event
Abdul Razak F.
42' Event
Al Waked M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Jaish and Jableh finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Jaish.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al Jaish
15%
Draws
0%
Jableh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Jaish

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Jaish come out ahead of Jableh on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Al Jaish taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 68%
Jableh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jaish Jableh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Jableh
3:1
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Jableh vs Al Jaish
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Jableh
2:2
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Jableh vs Al Jaish
2:0
Dec 1, 2023 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Jableh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Waked M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wais A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jableh Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdul Razak F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jaish 77 / 100
Jableh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jaish Jableh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Jaish Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jableh conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Jableh's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Jaish stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Jaish VS Jableh
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Jaish

(Home)
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
13 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 0
Al Jaish
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Jableh

(Away)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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