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Al Jaish vs Tishreen

Syria Syria

Premier League Abbasiyyin Stadium, Damascus
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Match Events

43' Event
Fall A.
66' Event
Al Ashqar J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Jaish and Tishreen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Jaish
20%
Draws
40%
Tishreen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Jaish haven't matched Tishreen's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 20%
Tishreen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jaish Tishreen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Tishreen
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Tishreen vs Al Jaish
4:0
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Tishreen vs Al Jaish
1:0
Feb 20, 2024 Syria Cup
Al Jaish vs Tishreen
1:2
Feb 9, 2024 Premier League
Tishreen vs Al Jaish
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ashqar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tishreen Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jaish 36 / 100
Tishreen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jaish Tishreen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tishreen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tishreen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Jaish remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Jaish found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Al Jaish VS Tishreen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Jaish

(Home)
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
13 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 0
Al Jaish
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Tishreen

(Away)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
27 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Tishreen
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Al-Shouleh
1 : 0
Tishreen
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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