Sport Picks
Al Kahraba vs Al Karma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
62'
62'
Mouddane A.
62'
62'
Mouddane A.
77'
77'
Diego Carioca
Assist: Aiad A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Karma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Karma lately — more wins on the board than Al Kahraba.
- Win probability leans Al Karma's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 15%
Al Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Kahraba | Al Karma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Karma
1:1
Jun 2, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Karma
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Kahraba
4:0
Jun 28, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Karma
4:1
Feb 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Kahraba
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Kahraba Compare
Top Goalscorer Diego Carioca
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Al Karma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Kahraba 10 / 100
Al Karma 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Kahraba Al Karma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Karma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Al Kahraba found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).
Al Kahraba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Al Karma conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Al Kahraba VS Al Karma
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Kahraba
(Home) 19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0 Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2 Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Al Gharraf
26 Aug
Al Kahraba
1 : 1 Al Karma
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3 Al Karma
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2 Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 3
Al Karma
(Away) 19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0 Zakho
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2 Al Karma
09 Sept
Al Karma
3 : 0 Al Naft
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2 Al Karma
30 Aug
Al Karma
2 : 0 Karbala
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2 Al Karma
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2 Al Karma
26 Aug
Al Kahraba
1 : 1 Al Karma
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3 Al Karma
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1 Al Karma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 5 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Golan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
