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Al Kahraba vs Al Qassim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Amutu A.
52' Event
Ouattara S.
67' Event
Amutu A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Kahraba and Al Qassim finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Kahraba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Kahraba
30%
Draws
12%
Al Qassim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Kahraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Kahraba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Kahraba are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 68%
Al Qassim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Al Qassim
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 0
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.32 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Qassim
3:0
Dec 23, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Qassim
3:0
May 12, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Qassim
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 Stars League
Al Qassim vs Al Kahraba
0:0
May 16, 2024 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Qassim
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Amutu A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ouattara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Al Qassim Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 86 / 100
Al Qassim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Al Qassim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kahraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qassim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

Al Kahraba's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Kahraba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Al Qassim
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

Al Qassim

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0
Al Qassim
28 May
Al Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
19 May
Al Qassim
2 : 5
Naft Missan
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al Qassim
10 May
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Qassim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)