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Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Al Sawad H.
Assist: Salmani J.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Kahraba and Al Talaba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Talaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Kahraba
35%
Draws
45%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Talaba come out ahead of Al Kahraba on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Talaba here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 24%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Al Talaba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 14
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
0:1
Mar 12, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Kahraba
2:0
Apr 17, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Kahraba
1:0
Jan 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kahraba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Sawad H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 37 / 100
Al Talaba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Talaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Kahraba scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Al Talaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Kahraba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Al Talaba
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
05 Nov
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Zakho
29 Oct
Al Naft
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
23 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 1
Al Kahraba
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

Al Talaba

(Away)
06 Nov
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)