Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Kahraba host Al Talaba in the Stars League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Talaba have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Al Kahraba have conceded 1.4 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor Al Talaba slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.06) back Al Talaba to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Kahraba
35%
Draws
35%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Talaba come out ahead of Al Kahraba on wins alone.
  • Al Kahraba are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Talaba here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 20%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Al Talaba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Kahraba
2:0
Apr 17, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Kahraba
1:0
Jan 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
1:2
Jun 26, 2024 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 40 / 100
Al Talaba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kahraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Kahraba scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Al Talaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Kahraba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Al Talaba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

Al Talaba

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)